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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Green Bay

Conference:Horz
Expected RPI:112.0
Current RPI:112
Expected SOS:203
Current Record:21-12
Expected Record:21-12
Current Conf Record:15-7
Expected Conf Record:15-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-1
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:137
Expected OOC SOS:237


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1263.64%112.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Green Bay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Stanford (86.0)P12A93-89L0%0.0
11-17East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCA103-90L0%0.0
11-19Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA107-77L0%0.0
11-24Akron (34.0)MACH66-63W100%0.0
11-28Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA72-81W100%0.0
11-30SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA69-87W100%0.0
12-6Toledo (182.0)MACH69-71L0%0.0
12-15Pacific (268.0)WCCH93-88W100%0.0
12-23Wisconsin (43.0)B10A84-79L0%0.0
12-28Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA72-78W100%0.0
1-2Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH86-70W100%0.0
1-4Wright St. (146.0)HorzH76-68W100%0.0
1-7Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA67-87W100%0.0
1-9Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzA103-93L0%0.0
1-14Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA76-78W100%0.0
1-16Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA85-70L0%0.0
1-19Chicago St. (348.0)WACA66-99W100%0.0
1-23Oakland (116.0)HorzH95-111L0%0.0
1-25Detroit (204.0)HorzH115-108W100%0.0
1-29Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA95-94L0%0.0
2-4Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA78-85W100%0.0
2-6Wright St. (146.0)HorzA79-60L0%0.0
2-11Detroit (204.0)HorzA85-86W100%0.0
2-13Oakland (116.0)HorzA111-93L0%0.0
2-15Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH70-68W100%0.0
2-20Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH107-90W100%0.0
2-22Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzH78-61W100%0.0
2-26Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzH85-69W100%0.0
2-28Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH68-70L0%0.0
3-5Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzN65-53W100%0.0
3-6Milwaukee (173.0)HorzN70-61W100%0.0
3-7Valparaiso (49.0)HorzN92-99W100%0.0
3-8Wright St. (146.0)HorzN69-78W100%0.0